The Kouk's top 40 hits and misses

more Over the summer break, while fiddling through data bases, reading and just being interested in things, I unearthed a few quirky bits and pieces about the Australian economy, people, sport

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more If you need a reliable, accurate, thought provoking and informed economic forecasting at both local and international levels, look no further. Informed by Stephen's exceptionally broad experience and background, his

Economist

more Stephen Koukoulas has a rare and specialised professional experience over more than 25 years as an economist in Treasury, as Global Head of economic and market research, a Chief Economist
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THE LATEST FROM THE KOUK

Yes, we’re rich! Well, sort of

Wed, 28 Jun 2017

This article first appeared on the Yahoo7 Finance website at this link: https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/1395593-072653325.html 

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Yes, we’re rich! Well, sort of

In 2017, Australia’s annual GDP will top $1.8 trillion.

This is $1.8 trillion of goods and services consumed, exported, invested in or otherwise spent in the economy in a 12 month period.

This is an impressive figure for a country of around 24.5 million people, which means annual per capita GDP is approximately $73,500.

When converted into US dollar terms, Australia’s GDP is bigger than Spain (over 46 million people), Mexico (129 million people) and Indonesia (261 million). Australia’s GDP will be little below Russia (144 million people), South Korea (51 million) and then there is a bit of a gap up to Canada (36 million). Of course, after that are the mega-economies that dominate world trade and markets.

But the data goes to show that in per capita terms, Australians are on average, very well off. Rich, in other words.

The Australian stock market is a global dog.

Sat, 24 Jun 2017

This article first appeared on the Yahoo7 web page at this link: https://au.finance.yahoo.com/news/1381246-234254873.html 

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The Australian stock market is a global dog.

At a time when stock markets in the big, industrialised countries are zooming to record high after record high, the ASX200 index is going no where. So poor has the performance been that the ASX is around 20 per cent below the level prevailing in 2008.

It is a picture most evident in the last few years. Since the middle of 2013, the ASX 200 has risen by just 10 per cent. The US stock market, by contrast, has risen by 50 per cent, in Germany the rise has been 55 per cent, in Canada the rise has been 20 per cent, in Japan the rise has been 45 per cent while in the UK, with all its troubles, the rise has been 15 per cent.

So what has gone wrong?