The Kouk's top 40 hits and misses

more Over the summer break, while fiddling through data bases, reading and just being interested in things, I unearthed a few quirky bits and pieces about the Australian economy, people, sport

The Kouk's Outlook

more If you need a reliable, accurate, thought provoking and informed economic forecasting at both local and international levels, look no further. Informed by Stephen's exceptionally broad experience and background, his

Economist

more Stephen Koukoulas has a rare and specialised professional experience over more than 25 years as an economist in Treasury, as Global Head of economic and market research, a Chief Economist
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THE LATEST FROM THE KOUK

Inflation is slowly deflating and the RBA should be worried

Wed, 22 Oct 2014

Australia's inflation rate is heading lower. What is interesting is the deceleration in inflation is starting from a position where inflation was within the RBA's target band of 2 to 3 per cent.

In the September quarter, the CPI rose by 0.5 per cent, to be up 2.3 per cent for the year. Taking out the large prices swings and using the RBA underlying measures, inflation was 0.5 per cent for the quarter for an annual rise of just 2.5 per cent. In the first half of 2014, headline inflation was near 3 per cent with underlying inflation around 2.75 per cent.

Inflation is well contained, which ever way you cut it. Indeed, it looks like the quarterly momentum on prices is slowing which will filter into the year on year inflation run rate over the next few quarters. If, for example, underlying inflation is 0.6 per cent in the December quarter, annual underlying inflation, all of a sudden, is down at 2.25 per cent.

Gough Whitlam's fiscal legacy using facts

Wed, 22 Oct 2014

Within hours of the news that Gough Whitlam had died, age 98, the mantra of 'hopeless economic management' started to flow.

According to those who clearly loathe Whitlam and anything vaguely socially progressive, Fairfax and The Australian had stories where the Tea Party faithful in Australia wrote or were quoted saying, Whitlam was the worst Prime Minister Australia had seen, he was economically damaging, that he set up the culture of entitlement especially for health and university education, that he created the mentality of the dole bludger and so on.

I am sure you get the drift.